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Pakistan – Economic Forecasts – 2018-2020 Outlook

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Economic forecasts of Pakistan including a long-term outlook for the next decades, plus medium-term expectations for the next four quarters and short-term market predictions for the next release affecting the Pakistan economy.

 

OverviewActualQ3/18Q4/18Q1/19Q2/192020
Unemployment Rate5.90665.95.95.7percent
Inflation Rate5.215.35.86.16.36percent
Interest Rate6.506.56.5777percent
Balance of Trade-452668.00-325120-318987-291522-277928-274693PKR Million
Government Debt to GDP67.2067.667.668.268.270percent
MARKETSActualQ3/18Q4/18Q1/19Q2/192020
Currency121.51
123125127128135
Stock Market39875.12
points
3863537048355253406628803
Government Bond 10Y9.50
percent
9.49.8810.3810.9113.29
GDPActualQ3/18Q4/18Q1/19Q2/192020
GDP Annual Growth Rate5.79
percent
5.25.24.74.74.5
GDP304.95
USD Billion
315315335335360
GDP Constant Prices12416918.00
PKR Million
1236066913062598130005131300051314291984
Gross National Product13081028.00
PKR Million
1305108313761241136958361369583615056381
Gross Fixed Capital Formation1975936.00
PKR Million
17329262078685206880520688052274320
GDP per capita1222.52
USD
12901290141014101520
GDP per capita PPP5034.70
USD
51355404562056205778
GDP From Agriculture2284561.00
PKR Million
23229082403358239193523919352629550
GDP From Construction320769.00
PKR Million
309450337449335845335845369208
GDP From Manufacturing1572948.00
PKR Million
15718661654741164687716468771810477
GDP From Mining339747.00
PKR Million
352674357414355715355715391052
GDP From Services6970204.00
PKR Million
69191507332655729780472978048022767
GDP From Transport1551714.00
PKR Million
15705061632403162464516246451786037
LABOURActualQ3/18Q4/18Q1/19Q2/192020
Unemployment Rate5.90
percent
665.95.95.7
Unemployed Persons3620.00
Thousand
36363940363536064070
Employed Persons57420.00
Thousand
5808858062583515864062025
Population200.16
Million
217217221221225
Living Wage Family28800.00
PKR/Month
3000030000310002837931000
Living Wage Individual14400.00
PKR/Month
1397119000140261407024000
Wages High Skilled49800.00
PKR/Month
5000050000520004505954000
Wages Low Skilled20700.00
PKR/Month
2120021200212002372722000
PRICESActualQ3/18Q4/18Q1/19Q2/192020
Inflation Rate5.21
percent
5.35.86.16.36
Consumer Price Index CPI225.40
Index Points
230233234240262
Core Inflation Rate7.00
percent
7.285.27.347.333.7
GDP Deflator262.55
Index Points
260265260259300
Producer Prices234.40
Index Points
231235240250265
Export Prices715.10
Index Points
725731730733740
Import Prices1208.90
Index Points
11951490118711841690
Inflation Rate Mom0.57
percent
0.32-0.20.390.390.2
Food Inflation2.07
percent
2.92.83.251.923.5
CPI Transportation189.16
Index Points
185190198201214
Producer Prices Change7.60
percent
5.86.36.56.66.1
MONEYActualQ3/18Q4/18Q1/19Q2/192020
Interest Rate6.50
percent
6.56.5777
Interbank Rate6.35
percent
6.356.356.856.856.85
Money Supply M05101949.00
PKR Million
53363235350000561961557592776340000
Money Supply M112565330.00
PKR Million
1308036213399762137170951403265317095869
Money Supply M215148618.00
PKR Million
1575144016700000164687991682566720000000
Money Supply M318716342.07
PKR Million
1941350519500000202346632064426021900000
Deposit Interest Rate4.48
percent
4.484.484.984.984.98
Foreign Exchange Reserves15976.50
USD Million
1443536429134691357246429
TRADEActualQ3/18Q4/18Q1/19Q2/192020
Balance of Trade-452668.00
PKR Million
-325120-318987-291522-277928-274693
Exports247534.00
PKR Million
252694215864236957241854251785
Imports671212.00
PKR Million
577814534851528479519782526478
Current Account-4109.00
USD Million
-4200-4500-4300-4200-1200
Current Account to GDP-5.30
percent
-5.7-5.8-5.6-5.2-5.2
External Debt91761.00
USD Million
97000100000102000105000123000
Terms of Trade59.20
Index Points
60.6449.0661.5161.9243.79
Remittances4862.00
USD Million
49005000505052505200
Gold Reserves64.60
Tonnes
64.664.664.664.664.6
Capital Flows-1100.00
USD Million
-1900-2100-1800-1750-980
Crude Oil Production92.00
BBL/D/1K
9394959598
Foreign Direct Investment3434.90
USD Million
35003500390039004100
Terrorism Index8.40
8.28.28.18.18
GOVERNMENTActualQ3/18Q4/18Q1/19Q2/192020
Government Debt to GDP67.20
percent
67.667.668.268.270
Government Budget-5.80
percent of GDP
-4.2-4.2-3.7-3.7-2
Government Budget Value-1863.80
PKR Billion
-1750-1750-1450-1450-1400
Government Spending1587677.00
PKR Million
14787321670236166229816622981827430
Government Revenues4936.70
PKR Billion
53505350590059006100
Government Debt23606.50
PKR Billion
2400024400249002515027000
Fiscal Expenditure6800.50
PKR Billion
71007100735073507500
Military Expenditure10378.20
USD Million
1062912201108041086014539
BUSINESSActualQ3/18Q4/18Q1/19Q2/192020
Industrial Production4.12
percent
4.24.55.25.36.2
Manufacturing Production4.10
percent
5.55.66.16.37
Changes in Inventories209611.00
PKR Million
206652204000213076213875221000
Internet Speed2326.59
KBps
26802734278828413343
IP Addresses2921934.00
IP
34032563493069355503636373994364768
Industrial Production Mom-1.59
percent
0.20.30.40.50.8
Competitiveness Index3.67
Points
3.673.673.83.83.8
Competitiveness Rank115.00
115115114114110
Cement Production3787.00
Thousands of Tonnes
36183800362136214290
Ease of Doing Business147.00
148148149149150
Electricity Production7976.00
Gigawatt-hour
932198007189707112300
Corruption Index32.00
Points
3333343435
Corruption Rank117.00
117117116116115
CONSUMERActualQ3/18Q4/18Q1/19Q2/192020
Consumer Confidence47.61
Index Points
48.746.946.547.245.8
Consumer Spending10626857.00
PKR Million
964395611179454111263191112631912231608
Gasoline Prices0.76
USD/Liter
0.720.680.640.610.34
TAXESActualQ3/18Q4/18Q1/19Q2/192020
Corporate Tax Rate31.00
percent
3131333332
Personal Income Tax Rate20.00
percent
2020202020
Sales Tax Rate17.00
percent
1717171717
CLIMATEActualQ3/18Q4/18Q1/19Q2/192020
Precipitation6.35
mm
43.149.2728.4526.425.64
Temperature10.83
celsius
27.8615.7812.4227.0621.11
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